Michael Shellenberger
Jul. 9th, 2020 03:52 pmhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Shellenberger
https://environmentalprogress.org/big-news/2020/6/29/on-behalf-of-environmentalists-i-apologize-for-the-climate-scare
"On behalf of environmentalists everywhere, I would like to formally apologize for the climate scare we created over the last 30 years. Climate change is happening. It’s just not the end of the world. It’s not even our most serious environmental problem.
I may seem like a strange person to be saying all of this. I have been a climate activist for 20 years and an environmentalist for 30.
...
Here are some facts few people know:
Humans are not causing a “sixth mass extinction”
The Amazon is not “the lungs of the world”
Climate change is not making natural disasters worse
Fires have declined 25% around the world since 2003
The amount of land we use for meat — humankind’s biggest use of land — has declined by an area nearly as large as Alaska
The build-up of wood fuel and more houses near forests, not climate change, explain why there are more, and more dangerous, fires in Australia and California
Carbon emissions are declining in most rich nations and have been declining in Britain, Germany, and France since the mid-1970s
Netherlands became rich not poor while adapting to life below sea level
We produce 25% more food than we need and food surpluses will continue to rise as the world gets hotter
Habitat loss and the direct killing of wild animals are bigger threats to species than climate change
Wood fuel is far worse for people and wildlife than fossil fuels
Preventing future pandemics requires more not less “industrial” agriculture
I know that the above facts will sound like “climate denialism” to many people. But that just shows the power of climate alarmism.
..."
https://environmentalprogress.org/big-news/2020/6/29/on-behalf-of-environmentalists-i-apologize-for-the-climate-scare
"On behalf of environmentalists everywhere, I would like to formally apologize for the climate scare we created over the last 30 years. Climate change is happening. It’s just not the end of the world. It’s not even our most serious environmental problem.
I may seem like a strange person to be saying all of this. I have been a climate activist for 20 years and an environmentalist for 30.
...
Here are some facts few people know:
Humans are not causing a “sixth mass extinction”
The Amazon is not “the lungs of the world”
Climate change is not making natural disasters worse
Fires have declined 25% around the world since 2003
The amount of land we use for meat — humankind’s biggest use of land — has declined by an area nearly as large as Alaska
The build-up of wood fuel and more houses near forests, not climate change, explain why there are more, and more dangerous, fires in Australia and California
Carbon emissions are declining in most rich nations and have been declining in Britain, Germany, and France since the mid-1970s
Netherlands became rich not poor while adapting to life below sea level
We produce 25% more food than we need and food surpluses will continue to rise as the world gets hotter
Habitat loss and the direct killing of wild animals are bigger threats to species than climate change
Wood fuel is far worse for people and wildlife than fossil fuels
Preventing future pandemics requires more not less “industrial” agriculture
I know that the above facts will sound like “climate denialism” to many people. But that just shows the power of climate alarmism.
..."
https://www.svt.se/nyheter/vetenskap/16-ar-av-smaltande-is-pa-gronland-och-antarktis
Убыль льда:
318 Гт/год = 3.18E+11 м3/год
Площадь океанов Земли:
3.61E+14 м2
Вклад таяния в подъем уровня океанов:
0.9 мм/год = 9 см за 100 лет
В общем, пока все как раньше: не безумно быстро.
Убыль льда:
318 Гт/год = 3.18E+11 м3/год
Площадь океанов Земли:
3.61E+14 м2
Вклад таяния в подъем уровня океанов:
0.9 мм/год = 9 см за 100 лет
В общем, пока все как раньше: не безумно быстро.
Карты на стол ;-)
Feb. 18th, 2020 09:08 amНеверящий в антропогенное глобальное потепление собрал кучу забавных картинок:
https://aillarionov.livejournal.com/1162212.html
Возможно, частично отсюда:
http://www.petitionproject.org/gw_article/Review_Article_HTML.php
https://www.heartland.org/Center-Climate-Environment/
Мне кажется, будет интересно их все разобрать. :-)
https://aillarionov.livejournal.com/1162212.html
Возможно, частично отсюда:
http://www.petitionproject.org/gw_article/Review_Article_HTML.php
https://www.heartland.org/Center-Climate-Environment/
Мне кажется, будет интересно их все разобрать. :-)
Без снега дешевле :-)
Feb. 7th, 2020 01:12 pmhttps://www.svt.se/nyheter/lokalt/sodertalje/snofri-vinter-kan-ge-klirr-i-kassan
Всего 1 шведская комунна. Траты на уборку снега в последние 3 года:
"2018: 4 054 602 kronor
2019: 5 680 864 kronor
2020: 1 658 785 kronor"
Почувствуйте разницу.
Всего 1 шведская комунна. Траты на уборку снега в последние 3 года:
"2018: 4 054 602 kronor
2019: 5 680 864 kronor
2020: 1 658 785 kronor"
Почувствуйте разницу.
Захоронение углекислого газа под землей
Feb. 3rd, 2020 04:43 pmhttps://www.svt.se/nyheter/inrikes/cementas-fabrikschef-det-ar-en-press-men-pa-ett-positivt-satt
"... nu lovar en av Sveriges största koldioxidbovar – Cementa på Gotland – att de ska få ned sina utsläpp till noll på bara tio år. ... Metoden går ut på att Cementa fångar in koldioxiden och skeppar den på fartyg från Slite till norska Bergen där den pumpas ned i havet. ..."
Детали здесь:
https://www.svt.se/nyheter/inrikes/ccs
"... nu lovar en av Sveriges största koldioxidbovar – Cementa på Gotland – att de ska få ned sina utsläpp till noll på bara tio år. ... Metoden går ut på att Cementa fångar in koldioxiden och skeppar den på fartyg från Slite till norska Bergen där den pumpas ned i havet. ..."
Детали здесь:
https://www.svt.se/nyheter/inrikes/ccs
https://ihsmarkit.com/products/energy-chemical-economics-handbook.html

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-primary-energy
https://ourworldindata.org/energy
Информация к размышлению для тех, кто хочет нулевые выброса углекислого газа прямо сейчас. ;-)

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-primary-energy
https://ourworldindata.org/energy
Информация к размышлению для тех, кто хочет нулевые выброса углекислого газа прямо сейчас. ;-)
Повышение уровня океана в худшем случае
Jan. 14th, 2020 09:57 amhttp://www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1AR5_SPM_FINAL.pdf (Table SPM.2, p. 23)
"Projected change in ... global mean sea level rise for the mid- and late 21st century relative to the reference period of 1986–2005."
Scenario: RCP8.5 [наихудший из рассматриваемых]
2081–2100:
Global Mean Sea Level Rise (m)
Mean: 0.63
Likely range: 0.45 to 0.82
В общем, в самом худшем случае повышение уровня океана меньше, чем на 1 метр к концу века.
Мне кажется, повышение на 1 метр за 80 лет береговых укреплений в местах компактного проживания - вполне подъемная инженерная задача. ;-)
"Projected change in ... global mean sea level rise for the mid- and late 21st century relative to the reference period of 1986–2005."
Scenario: RCP8.5 [наихудший из рассматриваемых]
2081–2100:
Global Mean Sea Level Rise (m)
Mean: 0.63
Likely range: 0.45 to 0.82
В общем, в самом худшем случае повышение уровня океана меньше, чем на 1 метр к концу века.
Мне кажется, повышение на 1 метр за 80 лет береговых укреплений в местах компактного проживания - вполне подъемная инженерная задача. ;-)
"Опустынивание"
Dec. 26th, 2019 06:02 pmhttps://macroevolution.livejournal.com/280359.html

Ну в целом похоже, что пустыни уменьшаются. Что лично меня радует. :-)
Доклад целиком здесь:
https://www.ipcc.ch/2019/08/08/land-is-a-critical-resource_srccl/

Ну в целом похоже, что пустыни уменьшаются. Что лично меня радует. :-)
Доклад целиком здесь:
https://www.ipcc.ch/2019/08/08/land-is-a-critical-resource_srccl/
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0411-9
https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3004
https://elementy.ru/novosti_nauki/432747/Rost_kontsentratsii_CO_2_v_atmosfere_sposobstvuet_uvelicheniyu_rastitelnogo_pokrova
https://elementy.ru/novosti_nauki/433044/Pozelenenie_Zemli_uskoryaet_poteplenie_v_kholodnykh_rayonakh_i_tormozit_v_zasushlivykh
По наводке:
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1996318880513665&set=a.218562898289281&type=1&theater
https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3004
https://elementy.ru/novosti_nauki/432747/Rost_kontsentratsii_CO_2_v_atmosfere_sposobstvuet_uvelicheniyu_rastitelnogo_pokrova
https://elementy.ru/novosti_nauki/433044/Pozelenenie_Zemli_uskoryaet_poteplenie_v_kholodnykh_rayonakh_i_tormozit_v_zasushlivykh
По наводке:
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1996318880513665&set=a.218562898289281&type=1&theater
https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelshellenberger/2019/11/25/why-everything-they-say-about-climate-change-is-wrong/#4df558d312d6
"...
I asked the Australian climate scientist Tom Wigley what he thought of the claim that climate change threatens civilization. “It really does bother me because it’s wrong,” he said. “All these young people have been misinformed. And partly it’s Greta Thunberg’s fault. Not deliberately. But she’s wrong.”
..."
"...
I asked the Australian climate scientist Tom Wigley what he thought of the claim that climate change threatens civilization. “It really does bother me because it’s wrong,” he said. “All these young people have been misinformed. And partly it’s Greta Thunberg’s fault. Not deliberately. But she’s wrong.”
..."